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Arab-led parties projected to win record 18 seats in Israeli election

Al Jazeera English•2 min read•Oct 28, 2026•Updated: 1h ago•REF: OPA-261028-AMV
An Arab citizen of Israel casts his ballot during Israel's elections in Umm al-Fahm, Israel, on October 27, 2026 [Amir Levy/Getty Images]
An Arab citizen of Israel casts his ballot during Israel's elections in Umm al-Fahm, Israel, on October 27, 2026 [Amir Levy/Getty Images]
Photo: Al Jazeera Staff

Key Takeaways

  • Arab-led parties are projected to win 18 seats in the 120-member Knesset.
  • Voter turnout among Palestinian citizens of Israel reached a historic 80 percent.
  • The Likud and Yashar-led blocs are currently tied at 51 seats each.
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OPA WIRE, Oct 28 (OPA) — Exit polling data from Tuesday’s election shows the Joint List and Ra’am parties poised to capture a record number of seats in the Israeli parliament. The surge follows an unprecedented 80 percent voter turnout among Palestinian citizens of Israel, the highest participation rate recorded since 1999. Despite the gains, the opposition bloc led by Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party remain tied at 51 seats each, complicating efforts to form a stable governing coalition.

Ra’am leader Mansour Abbas signaled that his party is prepared to leverage its position to influence the formation of a new government. “With the numbers we have now, there is no government,” Abbas told Israel’s Channel 12. While both major blocs reportedly reached out to Arab-led parties, analysts suggest that ideological barriers and campaign promises to avoid coalitions with Arab factions may hinder the path to a 61-seat majority. Former Israeli ambassador Alon Pinkas noted that the political price for such cooperation remains a significant hurdle for Jewish-led parties.

Netanyahu’s Likud party employed aggressive rhetoric throughout the final hours of voting, attempting to mobilize its base by highlighting the high turnout in Arab communities. Witnesses reported vehicles flying Likud flags through Jerusalem while broadcasting the Islamic call to prayer to discourage voter apathy. Netanyahu further amplified these efforts on social media, warning supporters that a failure to vote would result in a government led by Abbas and fellow Knesset member Ahmad Tibi.

Palestinian citizens of Israel, who constitute approximately 21 percent of the country’s 10 million residents, have historically faced lower turnout rates than their Jewish counterparts. This election saw a shift in sentiment, with many voters participating despite long-standing grievances regarding systemic discrimination and the passage of restrictive legislation. As the Central Elections Committee confirms a national turnout of 77.7 percent, the focus shifts to the final vote count and the subsequent, likely protracted, negotiations to determine the next government.

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Mohammad Karamali

Verified Wire Contributor
OPA Global Newsroom & Wire Desk

Senior correspondent covering geopolitics, regional developments, and strategic international affairs for OPA News (Optimum Public Affairs).

This dispatch adheres to the OPA Editorial Code of Ethics, independent multi-source verification, and factual accuracy guidelines.View Author Dossier & Archive

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MK
Mohammad KaramaliStaff JournalistToronto, Canada

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Editorial Oversight & Machine-Assisted Reporting

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Editorial Oversight & Machine-Assisted Reporting: This dispatch was synthesized and localized via OPA automated intelligence under continuous human editorial supervision.

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This report was synthesized from Al Jazeera English under journalistic fair use.